FINANCIAL RESULTS  COMMENTARY  DIVIDEND DECLARATION  PRINT DOCUMENT (Excel)  AECI HOME

PERFORMANCE

Headline earnings of R392 million, equivalent to 355 cents per ordinary share, were 58 per cent lower than in 2006. The current year’s headline earnings are stated after charging R108 million after tax (R117 million before tax) in respect of closure costs at SANS Fibres (SANS).  In 2006, the inclusion of R233 million after tax, following an agreement concluded with the AECI Pension Fund to create an employer surplus account, and a once-off profit of R223 million after tax on the sale of a surplus property at Milnerton, boosted results.  In the current year, the Group earned R47 million income after tax on the assets created out of the pension fund surplus.  If the effect of these transactions is excluded, headline earnings were R453 million, or 410 cents per share, compared with R487 million, or 441 cents per share, in 2006, a reduction of 7 per cent.  Despite the reduction in profit, the directors are sufficiently confident about the future to maintain a final dividend of 141 cents per ordinary share.

Group revenue increased by 11 per cent in total in 2007 whilst revenue from continuing operations increased by 13 per cent, reflecting some pleasing growth in the mining and specialty chemicals sectors.  However, with high oil prices impacting on oil-based raw material costs, extended commissioning of new detonator manufacturing equipment and intense competition in the shocktube market, margins were under pressure.  The operating margin on continuing operations declined to 9 per cent from 14 per cent in 2006.

African Explosives Limited (AEL) recorded strong growth in volumes and sales in the surface market sector in South Africa and its businesses in Africa .  In South Africa, however, the narrow reef market was impacted severely by lower volumes and intense competition.  The slower than planned ramp-up of the first phase of automated production of initiating systems at Modderfontein, owing to larger than expected inter-batch variations in the powder drying section of the plant, also contributed to AEL’s disappointing decline in trading profit.  A technical solution to the plant problem has been found and production rates for the first phase of the automation project are expected to increase to full design capacity during the second and third quarters of 2008.  Final completion and commissioning of the second phase of the project is underway and production is expected to increase to over 85 per cent of design capacity of 80 million detonators by the end of 2008.

Chemical Services (Chemserve) recorded a creditable 13 per cent increase in trading profit in 2007.  Organic growth accounted for virtually all of the improvement, with some contribution from two small acquisitions.  Although the drop-off in certain manufacturing sectors had an adverse effect, Chemserve benefited from innovative vendor management in platinum, gold and base metal mining in Southern Africa;  infrastructure development which created demand for construction chemicals and related products;  and consumer-driven markets such as food, coatings, household and personal care products and some white goods.  The year was significant in terms of Chemserve’s capital programme, with major projects underway for the construction and expansion of manufacturing capacity.  Most of this is in the area of mining chemicals and it is expected that the investments will deliver significant benefits from 2009.

After a record performance in 2006, the property activities managed by Heartland had a more subdued year and trading profits were R75 million, net of R83 million of remediation costs. Net cash outflow totalled R48 million after expenditure of R66 million on remediation and R70 million expenditure on infrastructure.  Sales of 86 hectares of land were achieved in the year compared with 160 hectares in 2006.

DISPOSAL GROUPS AND DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS

AECI’s strategic focus is increasingly on the supply of specialty products and services, based on chemistry, to customers in the mining and manufacturing sectors in Africa and elsewhere.  The decorative coatings business, trading as Dulux, targeting primarily the retail consumer market, was not well aligned with this strategy.  Effective 1 October 2007, therefore, AECI agreed to sell the Dulux business to ICI plc for a cash consideration of R745 million which was received prior to the year end.  The sale realised a profit after tax of R394 million, which is excluded from headline earnings.

The polyester light decitex industrial (LDI) and heavy decitex industrial (HDI) businesses of SANS have been under severe pressure for some time owing to several factors.  These include ongoing over-investment in polyester yarn plants (mainly in the Far East) resulting in surplus capacity and very low prices, and the lower cost base of manufacturers in the Far East .  The highly competitive situation will not change.  Furthermore, SANS’ principal local customer for nylon HDI decided to exit this business.  In this context, and after failing to find a partner or owner which could add value to these components, or to SANS’ operation as a whole, the decision was taken to close these businesses at the end of December 2007.  An impairment charge of R93 million after tax has been incurred in respect of these assets and is included in net profit from discontinued operations in the income statement.

The nylon LDI and the polyethylene terephthalate (PET) polymer businesses were profitable in 2007 and their immediate outlook remains positive.  However, AECI is actively engaging with several parties interested in purchasing the nylon LDI and PET businesses which have, therefore, been classified as assets held for sale.  It is expected that the sale of these businesses will be completed within the next financial year.  An impairment charge of R157 million after tax has been taken in 2007 to write down the assets of these businesses to their expected sale values.

FINANCIAL 

Capital expenditure of R688 million included R381 million for expansion projects, mainly in respect of the major projects currently under construction at AEL and Chemserve.  The capital expenditure was R455 million higher than the depreciation charge. Group working capital, including the working capital component of assets classified as held for sale, increased to R1 897 million, representing 17.8 per cent of annual sales (excluding businesses sold) compared with the corresponding figure of 17.1 per cent in 2006.

Notwithstanding the receipt of the proceeds for the sale of the Dulux business, Group borrowings increased to R1 001 million from R940 million in 2006 reflecting the increased capital expenditure during the year.  Cash interest cover returned to a more normal level of 7 times from the exceptionally high level of 13 times in 2006.  Gearing remained at 25 per cent of shareholder funds, the same level as in December 2006.  No repurchases of ordinary shares were undertaken during the year.  However, the Board has taken the decision to buy back up to 5 per cent of the Group’s issued shares in the market as and when the market is favourable, as authorised at the 2006 Annual General Meeting (AGM).  Authority is being sought at the AGM in May 2008 to repurchase up to a further 10 per cent.

The impairments and disposals in the discontinued operations section of the income statement comprise mainly the profit on sale of Dulux of R394 million less the non-headline SANS impairment of R314 million.

PORTFOLIO

Reference has already been made to the disposal of Dulux and the closure of part of the SANS operations in December. The remainder of SANS’ businesses are expected to be sold in 2008. In terms of the agreement between SANS and its partner in the North Carolina , USA joint venture, SANS acquired the remaining 50 per cent of the shares it did not already own at a cost of R60 million during the year. This business is also expected to be sold during the course of 2008. Chemserve acquired two small local businesses during the year.

OUTLOOK

The trading outlook over the next year appears challenging with the prospect of high oil prices, a higher interest rate environment, a weaker rand and uncertainty regarding power supply in South Africa.  A weaker rand puts immediate pressure on the Group’s import costs but assists with exports.  Inflationary pressures are evident in many countries.  Therefore, pressure on margins is expected to continue.  The Group will focus on containing operating costs and will seek to recover increased input costs in the market where possible.

Apart from at SANS, the recent nationwide disruptions in electricity supply have had a limited impact on the Group’s manufacturing plants.  However, the delivery of products to certain of the Group’s customers was adversely affected, particularly the mines.  As part of the solution to assure a steady supply of power, the Group is currently investigating co-generation alternatives.

AECI is well-positioned and well-funded to grow both organically and by acquisition.  2008 should see improved results compared to 2007, particularly from Chemserve and Heartland.  Beyond 2008, the benefits of capital investments are expected to start delivering significantly improved results in 2009 and 2010.

The condensed consolidated financial results were authorised for issue by the directors on 25 February 2008.

Fani Titi                                                                                                Schalk Engelbrecht
Chairman                                                                                            Chief executive

Woodmead, Sandton
25 February 2008